4 ms·
Underestimated doesn’t necessarily mean unvalued or unhyped, it just means that the future value will be dramatically higher than people expect, even if what pe
by wildermuthn 6y ago
Underestimated doesn’t necessarily mean unvalued or unhyped, it just means that the future value will be dramatically higher than people expect, even if what people expect is high to begin with.
So having said that: machine learning.
It’s basically been proven that throwing more compute and data at a problem gives proportionally better results. Getting to GPT10 is just a matter of money at this point. This straightforward scaling scenario leads inevitably to more resources spent on more compute (and different kinds of specialized computation), which simultaneously drives down prices and pushes forward performance.
Siri is the Altavista of AI. When the Google of AI appears in the next 5 years, it will rock our world harder than anyone expects. No one expected Google, even though plenty were hyping the internet. The same thing is happening with ML today.
- mrfusion 6y agoWhy do you call it gpt10 and not gpt4? Very astute observation though.
- wildermuthn 6y ago1 or 2 GPT upgrades over the next five years get us to about 10? 10 is an arbitrary number, but my point is that ML advances are coming at an accelerating pace.
- mrfusion 6y agoYeah for sure. I personally think GPT4 is going to be very impressive.