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But ... that 200 years of data has nothing to do with what is going to happen in the future...

• Moodles 6y ago
  Not nothing.
  • sanderjd 6y ago
    I guess this always devolves into philosophy, but yes, the future is actually unknowable.
    • Moodles 6y ago
      Right, and at some point you have to choose to live your life assuming there isn't an undetectable asteroid about to wipe out all human civilization, even though you don't know the probability of it happening.