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It seems very unlikely since there's 200 years of data to show that was the biggest crash ever. So a crash twice that size is very unlikely. You could do the ma
by Moodles 6y ago
It seems very unlikely since there's 200 years of data to show that was the biggest crash ever. So a crash twice that size is very unlikely. You could do the math to calculate the exact probability given the sample size of stock market years.
- sanderjd 6y agoBut ... that 200 years of data has nothing to do with what is going to happen in the future...
- Moodles 6y agoNot nothing.
- sanderjd 6y agoI guess this always devolves into philosophy, but yes, the future is actually unknowable.
- Moodles 6y agoRight, and at some point you have to choose to live your life assuming there isn't an undetectable asteroid about to wipe out all human civilization, even though you don't know the probability of it happening.