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https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/11/third-surge-breaking-healthcare-workers/617091/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/11/third-sur.

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/11/third-surge-breaking-healthcare-workers/617091/ https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/11/third-sur... > The entire state of Iowa is now out of staffed beds, Eli Perencevich, an infectious-disease doctor at the University of Iowa, told me. Worse is coming. Iowa is accumulating more than 3,600 confirmed cases every day; relative to its population, that’s more than twice the rate Arizona experienced during its summer peak, “when their system was near collapse,” Perencevich said. With only lax policies in place, those cases will continue to rise. Hospitalizations lag behind cases by about two weeks; by Thanksgiving, today’s soaring cases will be overwhelming hospitals that already cannot cope. “The wave hasn’t even crashed down on us yet,” Perencevich said. “It keeps rising and rising, and we’re all running on fear. The health-care system in Iowa is going to collapse, no question.” Most of the US is likely to have their medical systems collapse this winter. That will lead to thousands of preventable deaths. Stigmatizing people with HIV was bad because it was a proxy for stigmatizing gay men. Stigmatizing people who don't wear masks is stigmatizing anti-social behavior.

gnusty_gnurc 6y ago
> Most of the US is likely to have their medical systems collapse this winter. Let's put a remind-me on this one.
dragonwriter 6y ago
> Most of the US is likely to have their medical systems collapse this winter. “Collapse” is too terse and paints a potentially misleading picture of the problem; “be overwhelmed and forced to ration care on bases other than medical need, such as expected future quantity and quality of life and chance of recovery” and “face significantly reduced total capacity because of COVID-19 impacts on staff” would be more precise.
- wins32767 6y ago
  Fair. A key indicator is the death rate of patients hospitalized with COVID. It's been driven down significantly since the start of the pandemic, but if the fatality rate of those hospitalized starts climbing that's the system starting to fail.

gnusty_gnurc 6y ago

> Most of the US is likely to have their medical systems collapse this winter. Let's put a remind-me on this one.

dragonwriter 6y ago

> Most of the US is likely to have their medical systems collapse this winter. “Collapse” is too terse and paints a potentially misleading picture of the problem; “be overwhelmed and forced to ration care on bases other than medical need, such as expected future quantity and quality of life and chance of recovery” and “face significantly reduced total capacity because of COVID-19 impacts on staff” would be more precise.

wins32767 6y ago
Fair. A key indicator is the death rate of patients hospitalized with COVID. It's been driven down significantly since the start of the pandemic, but if the fatality rate of those hospitalized starts climbing that's the system starting to fail.