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To quote subsbuzero: My 10 megatrends: 1. Energy is effectively free. Solar PV is already USD 13 per MW-h (Oil equivalent USD 22.1) and falling 2. China wil
by aussiegreenie 6y ago
To quote subsbuzero:
My 10 megatrends:
1. Energy is effectively free. Solar PV is already USD 13 per MW-h (Oil equivalent USD 22.1) and falling
2. China will fail. During 1919-1948 China was ruled be regional strongmen (aka Warlordism). The CCP will fail and return to Warlordism.
3. All the connected 'smart' devices will fail due to either a deliberate or accidental failure of the Internet. Many will never be reboot.
4. People get old. Most countries are ageing including China, Japan and most western countries.
5. Climate Change will cause water and food shortages.
6. Most countries taxes bases will be destroyed. Due to 'tax planning' by the rich and the inability of Governments to replace outdated taxes with modern ones. eg petrol tax on ICE cars with EVs
7. Politics will become even less relevant. Politics will continue to shrink with large donors the only voices heard.
8. Healthcare will become less equal, along with everything else.
9. Many nation states will fail including the America.
10. There will be a rise in extremism as displaced people fight for reduced resources.