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My 10 megatrends: 1. Resources especially water will become scarce in certain high population areas causing severe unrest and migration out of those regions.
by subsubzero 6y ago
My 10 megatrends:
1. Resources especially water will become scarce in certain high population areas causing severe unrest and migration out of those regions.
2. Due to increased automation(spreading through all industries) income inequality will hit an all time high.
3. Due to climate change(fires/floods) and large insurance industry losses some areas will now be considered un-insurable.
4. Give the covid pandemic record amounts of money will be funneled to healthcare, expect some large scale diseases to be conquered, HIV, many forms of cancer.
5. Electric cars will be ubiquitous.
6. Large Media will suffer a near fatal collapse(changing consumer patterns ie cord cutting, distrust, polarization).
7. Military around the world will utilize more and more robots/AI in fights, most planes will be run by AI(no pilots), ground attacks will feature more robots also. Same with water, AI controlled submarines and boats.
8. Tech fatigue will set in with a significant part of the population with some people avoiding most forms of social media and smart devices.
9. A reverse of the people moving to big cities occurs, more people moving into smaller towns happens, this was triggered by covid but continues as more and more jobs are able to be done remotely.
10. Fusion reactors will become a reality with cheap power being achieved.
- vharuck 6y ago>2. Due to increased automation(spreading through all industries) income inequality will hit an all time high. >9. A reverse of the people moving to big cities occurs, more people moving into smaller towns happens, this was triggered by covid but continues as more and more jobs are able to be done remotely. These seem opposite, to me. I agree many jobs will eventually be automated. Especially manufacturing and other things small towns are known for. Can small cities survive with remote workers replacing the lost jobs?
- subsubzero 6y agoThis isn't really tied to techjob losses, some job loss will happen but more like blue collar industries that haven't been digitized. So more developers, less non-tech workers. That being said alot more people in tech will move to smaller towns.
- bluGill 6y agoAs more jobs move remote people will discover they don't need to live in a big city. Small cities offer a best of both worlds: people around for when you want human contact, but not too many; cheap enough that you can afford some nice property in the city.
- andrejserafim 6y agoWhat about polarisation of politics and deglobalisation? Are those real and what's their impact?
- subsubzero 6y agoI think polorization is being seen by and large in alot of countries now, think of the "strong man/Nationalistic" leaders popping up in many countries the past few years, (Trump - US, Bolsonaro - Brazil, Johnson - UK, Duterte - Philippines, etc) and the intense opposition against them. Couple that with disinformation seen on facebook etc, and peoples desire to consume media that reaffirms their beliefs I expect a good portion of the populace to tune out media as it is mostly centrist/center left, and look for right wing or left wing news. Couple that with excessive cord cutting and decreased returns from online ads I see a very large contraction in most media companies.
- jmorrison 6y agoMy worry re: #7 is that this, like the US volunteer military, decreases the cost (in bad PR due to human cost to one's own troops) to the point where starting a conflict feels relatively risk-free. Which would lead to lots more of them (just like the US is now).
- whimsicalism 6y agoShaping the next decade??? You all are far more optimistic than I am it seems.