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Literally anyone familiar with politics and economics. At a fundamental level, industry responds to price incentives and government responds to political incen
by andromeduck 6y ago
Literally anyone familiar with politics and economics.
At a fundamental level, industry responds to price incentives and government responds to political incentives.
- gbear605 6y agoTen years ago, it was unknown if the technology behind SpaceX would pan out. No one doubted that the economics would work if the technology also did.
- jjoonathan 6y agoI didn't think the early SpaceX rockets did much that was technologically novel. The real reason why everyone expected the commercial crew program to turn into big contractor grift is because they saw the same story play out 100 times before and 100 of those times the big contractors found a way to capture the money and send the project into development hell. The 101st time was different.
- bryanlarsen 6y agoThe non-governmental market size for conventional super-heavy launch vehicles is zero.
- jvanderbot 6y agoI think this is a textbook example of hindsight being 2020. Of course it's obvious now.
- mempko 6y agoGovernments create markets. They create the games. People like Musk just plays them.
- Beached 6y agoeveryone and their grandma, including some of SpaceX's biggest supporters thought spacex would fail. your statement is hyperbole
- kanox 6y agoThere are space companies other than SpaceX which participated in the same contracts and were nowhere nearly as successful. * Boeing did not yet deliver commercial crew. * Antares rocket did not expand beyond ISS delivery. * Blue Origin is not yet flying, despite immense funding. * Virgin Galactic did not yet fly any customers. The other great space launch success in the last decade was RocketLab but they're far too small to be relevant to SLS.