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Indeed. "7. AI will achieve human-level intelligence" should call in to question the whole analysis.
by alex_anglin 6y ago
Indeed. "7. AI will achieve human-level intelligence" should call in to question the whole analysis.
- throw_away 6y agoAuthor's premise is entirely based on a > twenty year old book running at about a 19% accuracy rate for its current-decade predictions: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NcGBmDEe5qXB7dFBF/assessing-kurzweil-predictions-about-2019-the-results https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/NcGBmDEe5qXB7dFBF/assessing-...