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> We can't even predict weather very well beyond 2 weeks. But we can confidently predict that most of Europe will have higher temperature nine months from now.
by yongjik 6y ago
> We can't even predict weather very well beyond 2 weeks.
But we can confidently predict that most of Europe will have higher temperature nine months from now. Also, California will be dry.
Sometimes large-scale predictions are easier because you're not concerned with small-scale noise.
- haltingproblem 6y agoSeasonal cycles do not require a model. The discussion here is about weather and climate models.
- adrianN 6y agoI'm pretty sure that the Earth going round the Sun and the Earth's axis being slightly tilted counts as a model using which you can predict the seasons.
- haltingproblem 6y agoYou are not wrong in arguing that the Copernican model is also a model. I think the discussion here is about computational stochastic models. I also don't really need a model to predict warming in the summer and cooling in the winter. A lookup table should suffice. Edit: Can't believe parent is getting downvoted for asking a question that people disagree with.