3 ms·
Illinois averages 300 deaths per day from all causes, so if 3%-5% of all Illinoisians are COVID+, that error starts to add up.
by nsxwolf 6y ago
Illinois averages 300 deaths per day from all causes, so if 3%-5% of all Illinoisians are COVID+, that error starts to add up.
- scottlamb 6y agoMeh. The excess deaths are a lot more than 3%–5%. In a super quick search: "From Feb. 2 through July 25, Illinois had officially recorded 10,252 more deaths than typically would be expected" [1] => 59 per day. If 300 people died per day (your stat) and 5% of those were misattributed to COVID-19 because they were tested and happened to have a harmless COVID-19 infection (this is a silly upper bound), that's only 15 misattributed out of the 59, so at least 75% are correct. That's already good enough to use for setting policy IMHO. In reality, I doubt everyone who died was even tested, so I think more error lies in the other direction. [1] https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-dataviz-coronavirus-covid-excess-deaths-illinois-20200828-llxjzyrnxnc5hjptuudce2t7ty-story.html https://www.chicagotribune.com/coronavirus/ct-dataviz-corona...