3 ms·
New cases are not meaningless. They might just not be 1:1 comparable in numeric values to the numbers a couple of months before. But if you are an an exponentia
by _ph_ 6y ago
New cases are not meaningless. They might just not be 1:1 comparable in numeric values to the numbers a couple of months before. But if you are an an exponential raise, even pretty large factors are caught up with literally within a couple of days.
- RamRodification 6y agoYou are correct. That's why I went with "kind of meaningless". Maybe a bit too harsh by me. What I really meant was "not as meaningful as people make it out to be." (or "seem to want it to be"). The post kind of goes from straight talk about deaths to "and here are stats" which are not at all showing deaths. Comes off a little dishonest to me. And the stat on deaths being "40% above the U.S. equivalent" just seem plain wrong. See the comments on the post for that.
- sharken 6y agoNew cases do not say anything about how many dead you can expect, case in point Czech Republic: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/czech-republic/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/czech-repu...
- _ph_ 6y agoHow is this a case in point? The curve of the deaths follows the curve of infections closely.
- sharken 6y agoBoth Sweden and New York have seen an upward trend of infections, but without a big increase in deaths as you have in the Czech Republic. Here is the data for New York: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-york/ https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/usa/new-york/
- u320 6y agoNo, since in this situation the error is growing exponentially too. There can never be any "catching up" in this case.