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Wait, are we talking more black voters proportionally, or more votes absolutely? AIUI there's simply been flat-out more voters in the 2020 election on every sid
by Qwertious 6y ago
Wait, are we talking more black voters proportionally, or more votes absolutely? AIUI there's simply been flat-out more voters in the 2020 election on every side, so saying "more X voters voted for trump" might be technically provable today but not very useful.
Proportions are harder to pin down, as an accurate "X%" necessarily requires knowing the full set (or at least a random sample, and votes are being counted as they come in rather than in a random order).
- timoth3y 6y agoExit polling showed that a higher proportion of back and minority voters voted for Trump in 2020 than in 2016. However, since exit polling only counts those who vote on election day, and far more Democrats voted early or by mail than Republicans, we don't know to what extent those numbers are representative of voters as a whole. I'd love to see that analysis, but AFAIK no one has done it yet.