2 ms·
Trafalgar group did a pretty good job this election. They were also lambasted by Democratic media and called wackos and nutjobs. Meanwhile WaPo put its name on
by TechBro8615 6y ago
Trafalgar group did a pretty good job this election. They were also lambasted by Democratic media and called wackos and nutjobs. Meanwhile WaPo put its name on a poll that had Biden +17 in WI.
- tptacek 6y agoNo, they didn't. They were off by 4 in AZ (and called it for Trump), by 5 in Georgia (again for Trump), 6 in Michigan (again), 8 in Wisconsin (and again), and 3 in PA (which they, again, called for Trump). They were also off by 7 in Minneapolis (which they correctly called for Biden) and 6 in Ohio (which they correctly called for Trump). There was a narrative on e-day that Trafalgar had done a good job, because Democratic votes were disproportionately counted later in the week. But if you'd relied on Trafalgar predictions to allocate resources in an election, you'd have gotten depantsed.
- tgb 6y agoMoreover the Trafalgar head of polling went on Fox a day before the election claiming that there would be 4% points of systematic election fraud happening in Pennsylvania. So "nutjob" and "wacko" would be underselling them. https://www.mediaite.com/tv/trafalgar-pollster-robert-cahaly-makes-baseless-claim-trump-will-win-pennsylvania-but-they-will-steal-it-with-voter-fraud/ https://www.mediaite.com/tv/trafalgar-pollster-robert-cahaly...