4 ms·
Exactly this. Where is the verification? Predictions don’t count for much unless you check that the expectations line up with reality.
by dgr582systems 6y ago
Exactly this. Where is the verification?
Predictions don’t count for much unless you check that the expectations line up with reality.
- dragonwriter 6y agoIIRC, 538 has available both the polling data and predictions for all of their political forecast series (not just Presidential.)
- danhor 6y ago538 has some infos about this here: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/ https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/checking-our-work/