4 ms·
I've always thought that you could make a fair bit of money betting on football matches where one team is at least two goals up with only a few minutes to go. Y
by TillE 16y ago
I've always thought that you could make a fair bit of money betting on football matches where one team is at least two goals up with only a few minutes to go. You still get a payout of 1%, and it's a near-certain bet. If you're willing to risk a decent chunk of money and add a few sanity checks (never bet on Arsenal if Manuel Almunia is in goal), it could be some nice income. One percent a couple times per week.
I have to actually figure out one of these betting site APIs and try to do it some day.
- jakewalker 16y agoWorks fine until it doesn't. Therein lies the rub.
- VB6_Foreverr 16y agoThe best strategy for this is to only do it for a limited period at large stakes so that your actual outcome is more likely to deviate from the expected outcome
- khafra 16y agoI don't think you can get around the nightingale-ish expected value of this strategy, no matter how you adjust the stakes and number of bets.
- VB6_Foreverr 16y agoIf the true odds are greater than 50% then you are more likely to win the bet than to lose it. So even if the odds given imply true odds far greater than 50% (ie poor odds) then you will still probably win money if you bet just 1 bet.
- VB6_Foreverr 16y agoThe minute in football where most goals are scored is the 90th (because it is often as long as 5 mins long). I remember where someone laid at huge odds (in running) a horse after Tony McCoy fell off only for McCoy to get back up and win the race http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PcEjgnBXP40 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PcEjgnBXP40