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Another reason why that synchronous 14 day lockdown would fail to eradicate the virus: unless you are going for total solitary confinement, intra-family transmi
by usrusr 6y ago
Another reason why that synchronous 14 day lockdown would fail to eradicate the virus: unless you are going for total solitary confinement, intra-family transmission chains would be able to sustain the virus much, much longer than those 14 days. Even a household as small as a two child nuclear family could sustain the virus quite long if each infection happens to have a fan-out of one and happens rather late in the contagiousness window.
- ptx 6y agoChina did isolate infected people away from home for precisely this reason. Seems to have worked.
- usrusr 6y agoBut that surely was only known positive isolation, not the blanket "everybody stay home" thing grandparent was suggesting. That's a huge difference particularly wrt (child)care: someone will take over until you are healthy again vs nobody can take over because everybody else is going through the same solitary confinement thing.
- ngcc_hk 6y agoThe big question is do they really work. Not according to country which measure traveller from china. We know in the long term. But trusting on their stat., not my default.