I collected Florida ballot returns and early voting by party registration by date. I allocated independent registrations 50/50 to each party, and ignored 3rd p

I collected Florida ballot returns and early voting by party registration by date. I allocated independent registrations 50/50 to each party, and ignored 3rd party registrations. Obviously this isn't the same as actual votes, but it is instructive. The Democratic party had a large lead at the start from postal votes, but that shrunk as more early voting happened. Date Likely Democratic lead 24 Oct 2020 386,908 26 Oct 2020 354,654 27 Oct 2020 299,021 28 Oct 2020 245,912 29 Oct 2020 204,277 1 Nov 2020 94,325 2 Nov 2020 108,123 3 Nov 2020 114,889 To me this indicates that the narrative of postal votes being vastly more from the Democratic party holds up. In states (like PA) where postal votes weren't counted until after polls closed we'd absolutely expect to see a large Republican lead which would shrink as postal votes were counted.