3 ms·

This is too high level. You would have to look at individual state levels, particularly swing states.

• Bedgeseb 6y ago
  https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords
  • timtylin 6y ago
    The more I think about it, the more I believe Benford's Law can be violated too easily within more urban areas, especially when precinct sizes are artificially limited to a fixed size (500~1000 people) without geographically-induced truncations. As long as voter turnout is consistently above 10-20%, with the 2-party system you're simply not going to get the vote count number to span the several magnitudes needed to induce Benford's Law. (Exception of course for smaller/independent candidates, and perhaps if one of the major candidates really sucked and kept getting 10% of the votes)
  • mikexstudios 6y ago
    https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords/issues/9 https://github.com/cjph8914/2020_benfords/issues/9 for more context.