4 ms·

At what point will Joe Biden work to calm the American people by telling them that Cornavirus has a 0.13% IFR [1] and that it has T-Cell immunity like all other

At what point will Joe Biden work to calm the American people by telling them that Cornavirus has a 0.13% IFR [1] and that it has T-Cell immunity like all other viruses? [2] Will Joe work to calm the nation about Cornavirus? Will Joe "keep us safe" or will he calm the nation by telling the numbers behind Coronavirus? [1] - Oct 05 WHO announces 750m cases and was at 1m deaths that day worldwide. 750m / 1m = 0.13% [2] - In undergrad / 101 college classes they teach about T-Cell immunity. When your body gets and beats a virus the T-Cells remember that virus in case you get it again. If the virus comes back the T-Cells will create new anti-bodies. This happens for virtually all viruses that humans come in contact with including Covid.

supertrope 6y ago
Death is not the only bad thing that can happen. Getting so sick your doctor admits you to a hospital. Permanently Losing lung capacity or your sense of smell. The death rate zooms up when the virus runs free and medical services are overwhelmed.
vharuck 6y ago
Got a link for [1]? I'm looking at https://covid19.who.int/table https://covid19.who.int/table, and it says there are 49,578,590 cumulative cases worldwide and 1,245,717 deaths. Which gives a case fatality ratio of 2.5%. Of course, to get the true IFR, we'd have to account for unreported cases and the last between infection and death (a really big deal for a rapidly communicable disease with an exponentially growing incidence rate).
phobosanomaly 6y ago
So, it's actually Plasma cells that make antibodies. Plasma cells can differentiate from Memory B cells. But, B cells can be activated by T-Cells. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B_cell https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B_cell I'm being pedantic because I think it's super interesting, not because any normal person should care about this.
jfengel 6y ago
You honestly think "It's OK, you only stand a one-in-a-thousand chance of dying" is a good way to calm people?
lhl 6y ago
For those interested in more realistic and relevant numbers, this is the most comprehensive COVID19 age-stratified IFR analysis I know of: https://github.com/mbevand/covid19-age-stratified-ifr https://github.com/mbevand/covid19-age-stratified-ifr For a bit more color on why global single number IFRs make little sense, LSHTM epidemiologist Adam Kucharski has a recent thread: https://twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/1323183041255276544 https://twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/132318304125527654...

supertrope 6y ago

Death is not the only bad thing that can happen. Getting so sick your doctor admits you to a hospital. Permanently Losing lung capacity or your sense of smell. The death rate zooms up when the virus runs free and medical services are overwhelmed.

vharuck 6y ago

Got a link for [1]? I'm looking at https://covid19.who.int/table https://covid19.who.int/table, and it says there are 49,578,590 cumulative cases worldwide and 1,245,717 deaths. Which gives a case fatality ratio of 2.5%. Of course, to get the true IFR, we'd have to account for unreported cases and the last between infection and death (a really big deal for a rapidly communicable disease with an exponentially growing incidence rate).

phobosanomaly 6y ago

So, it's actually Plasma cells that make antibodies. Plasma cells can differentiate from Memory B cells. But, B cells can be activated by T-Cells. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B_cell https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/B_cell I'm being pedantic because I think it's super interesting, not because any normal person should care about this.

jfengel 6y ago

You honestly think "It's OK, you only stand a one-in-a-thousand chance of dying" is a good way to calm people?

lhl 6y ago

For those interested in more realistic and relevant numbers, this is the most comprehensive COVID19 age-stratified IFR analysis I know of: https://github.com/mbevand/covid19-age-stratified-ifr https://github.com/mbevand/covid19-age-stratified-ifr For a bit more color on why global single number IFRs make little sense, LSHTM epidemiologist Adam Kucharski has a recent thread: https://twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/1323183041255276544 https://twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/132318304125527654...