3 ms·

I think I only saw projections for Dems retaining control (which was high). I think GOP gaining seats was always in the cards. I think it’s interesting too how

I think I only saw projections for Dems retaining control (which was high). I think GOP gaining seats was always in the cards. I think it’s interesting too how some of the qualitative predictions (like Sabatos crystal ball) were pretty close to the outcome in the Pres race.

evgen 6y ago
In just about every model, but let's use 538 as the canonical example, there was a reasonable chance for the Dems to lose seats but a very, very low chance they would lose control. We are looking at a two or three standard deviation variance from expectations for loss of control but losing seats was well within the range of outcomes that should have surprised no one.