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According to Nate Silver: > Biden is likely to wind up with one of the higher percentages of votes as a share of the U.S. population that we’ve seen in a long
by malnourish 6y ago
According to Nate Silver:
> Biden is likely to wind up with one of the higher percentages of votes as a share of the U.S. population that we’ve seen in a long time
Referencing this tweet, text copied below as well
https://twitter.com/jtlevy/status/1324408585590329345 https://twitter.com/jtlevy/status/1324408585590329345
[credit: Jacob T. Levy]
vote share * turnout
Reagan 1984: 53.3*58.8= 31.3%
W Bush 2004: 50.7*56.7=28.7%
Obama 2008: 52.9*58.2=30.8%
Biden 2020, estimated: 51*66 = 33.7%
counted so far: 50.5*60.3=30.4% (as of 2020-11-05)