4 ms·
3000 people in one month, from a disease that exhibits exponential spread through the population.
by crooked-v 6y ago
3000 people in one month, from a disease that exhibits exponential spread through the population.
- SamReidHughes 6y agoLogistic spread, actually.
- WildParser 6y agoIf you look closely the mathematics is all Gompertz-Functions. Big expansion in small groups, burning locally too fast to maintain a continuous exponential fire. This results in seasonal dynamics just like a corona-virus. Usually if you look at death by "date of death" you see Gompertz-Functions all around. If you look at death by "reporting date" you often see a very uneven lag forming some exponentials...