4 ms·

Can anyone get access to the same live vote data the networks use?

6 points by garyrob 6y ago

It would be interesting to build a real-time prediction engine to try to give real-time probabilities as elections are in progress.

3327 6y ago
Yes: AP API
emrehan 6y ago
We’ve prediction markets using wisdom of crowds: https://electionbettingodds.com/ https://electionbettingodds.com/
gnatman 6y ago
I think they use state and county boards of election data. Example here: https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2020/results/general/gen_results_2020_4_001-.html https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2020/results/genera...
reco 6y ago
Networks all get their data from 1 of 2 places. Edison research or the AP. Those two firms put in a lot of effort in collecting the latest data from the various state/county/city websites. All of which report there data differently, and is why everyone seems to have a slightly different total. I’m not sure if AP or Edison provide a free api nor not, but without using them as an aggregator collecting all that data independently is pretty much impossible.
- reco 6y ago
  Looks like AP does have an api https://developer.ap.org/ap-elections-api/ https://developer.ap.org/ap-elections-api/. But I’m not sure how you can get an api key.
matt_s 6y ago
For funsies, I put the numbers from NY Times into Excel to play with on the final 7 states that are undecided/close (AZ, GA, MI, PA, NV, NC, WI). The unknowns really are the amount of leftover ballots and what goes to each presidential candidate. A changeable variable on my sheet is the percentage of remaining that goes to each candidate. There are a few headlines that indicate Dems get more in absentee ballots but no actual data so 50/50 seems fair but is inaccurate. Especially if the missing ballots are in counties that are historically one way or another. Six of the seven remaining states are less than 100k ballot difference when you split the remaining ballots 50/50. You don't need a real time data feed to make projections. The NY Times site indicates the caveats with each state - like they haven't counted absentee, etc. so you can tinker with the numbers.
tmaly 6y ago
Just google for <State> election website I was able to find several

6 points by garyrob 6y ago

It would be interesting to build a real-time prediction engine to try to give real-time probabilities as elections are in progress.

3327 6y ago

Yes: AP API

emrehan 6y ago

We’ve prediction markets using wisdom of crowds: https://electionbettingodds.com/ https://electionbettingodds.com/

gnatman 6y ago

I think they use state and county boards of election data. Example here: https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2020/results/general/gen_results_2020_4_001-.html https://elections.maryland.gov/elections/2020/results/genera...

reco 6y ago

Networks all get their data from 1 of 2 places. Edison research or the AP. Those two firms put in a lot of effort in collecting the latest data from the various state/county/city websites. All of which report there data differently, and is why everyone seems to have a slightly different total. I’m not sure if AP or Edison provide a free api nor not, but without using them as an aggregator collecting all that data independently is pretty much impossible.

reco 6y ago
Looks like AP does have an api https://developer.ap.org/ap-elections-api/ https://developer.ap.org/ap-elections-api/. But I’m not sure how you can get an api key.

matt_s 6y ago

For funsies, I put the numbers from NY Times into Excel to play with on the final 7 states that are undecided/close (AZ, GA, MI, PA, NV, NC, WI). The unknowns really are the amount of leftover ballots and what goes to each presidential candidate. A changeable variable on my sheet is the percentage of remaining that goes to each candidate. There are a few headlines that indicate Dems get more in absentee ballots but no actual data so 50/50 seems fair but is inaccurate. Especially if the missing ballots are in counties that are historically one way or another. Six of the seven remaining states are less than 100k ballot difference when you split the remaining ballots 50/50. You don't need a real time data feed to make projections. The NY Times site indicates the caveats with each state - like they haven't counted absentee, etc. so you can tinker with the numbers.

tmaly 6y ago

Just google for <State> election website I was able to find several