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Yeah, it's a bit tricky ... like saying "Turing Machines are going to be able to do everything, but we'll need quite a few conceptual breakthroughs." Hard to sa
by bo1024 6y ago
Yeah, it's a bit tricky ... like saying "Turing Machines are going to be able to do everything, but we'll need quite a few conceptual breakthroughs." Hard to say what percent of progress we've made since 1936 toward artificial general intelligence (whatever that means).
- cs702 6y agoIn principle, yes, of course, because we use Turing machines for deep learning :-) but I think Hinton's point is much less broad than you imply: He believes "AGI" ultimately will be achieved with deep learning approaches, as opposed to other approaches, e.g., symbolic AI.
- bo1024 6y agoYes, but "quite a few conceptual breakthroughs" leaves a lot of room open for if it would be at all similar to deep learning today.
- cs702 6y agoAgree :-) Hinton's comment was meant as, and is, an educated guess, expressed as a belief -- much like expressing belief that P≠NP, say, or that string theory will prove to be a dead end in Physics. FWIW, I happen to agree with Hinton, but only time will tell if we're right!