I disagree. Taleb's key assertion seems to be that Silver should never have given Clinton a 90% chance of winning with the level of uncertainty in that race. Bu

I disagree. Taleb's key assertion seems to be that Silver should never have given Clinton a 90% chance of winning with the level of uncertainty in that race. But there were times when Trump having only a 10% of winning seemed completely justified, and I think to say otherwise at this point seems like projecting backward with hindsight.