> Fat tail risks The 538 model does have fat fails, and also, adding even fatter fails doesn't address Taleb's fundamental criticism. > Edit- I’m getting down

> Fat tail risks The 538 model does have fat fails, and also, adding even fatter fails doesn't address Taleb's fundamental criticism. > Edit- I’m getting downvoted im guessing because I said Clinton has lots of dirt and called Trump obsessive, I’ve revised the comment to be less politically accusative. I’m not concerned with the politics, just interested in the obsession with these “predictions” The 538 model does have fat fails.