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There were models like that, they didn’t bring them back this year.

• deleted 6y ago
  [deleted]
• dragonwriter 6y ago
  > There were models like that, they didn’t bring them back this year. They weren't the headline forecast, but, yes, the NowCast existed (and still does, in fact, though it's not visible, just like the polls-only forecast model isn't visible any more; Silver references them periodically.) But it's inaccurate to criticize the headline forecast based on the idea that it is trying to do what the NowCast does, and it is dishonest to criticize something other than the main forecast and say it is a criticism of the forecast, but not specify the alternative forecast you are actually criticizing.