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The same is true of pg, but his discoveries seem obvious only in hindsight. (I’m objecting to “the discoveries are obvious” as a putdown. The simplest discover
by sillysaurusx 6y ago
The same is true of pg, but his discoveries seem obvious only in hindsight.
(I’m objecting to “the discoveries are obvious” as a putdown. The simplest discoveries are some of the hardest. Though I doubt this matters for political pundit analysis.)
- JumpCrisscross 6y ago> The same is true of pg Y Combinator is a success. I find PG’s writings fantastic, but sure, some of it is more good writing than concept building. Taleb has no Y Combinator. His hedge fund failed. He’s just a talking head. That removes an element of grounding from his words.
- t-writescode 6y agoDoes it? I have no horse in this race, but with the rarity of a unicorn, it could be what amounts to luck. Out of billion people flipping a coin 30 times, a few of them may guess correctly all 30 times; but the books they write on coin flip guessing amount to meaningless drivel. My point is that success or failure in such a complex, edge-case, luck-based world may have very little to do with knowledge. PG, if you’re reading this, of course I mean no disrespect and I know little of the topic and nothing of this person at hand except that he seems to have run a failed hedge fund.