4 ms·
I don't believe this is accurate. NYT[0], HuffPo[1], Princeton Election Consortium[2], 538[3,4], and others did analyze their model's failures and update their
by techwizrd 6y ago
I don't believe this is accurate. NYT[0], HuffPo[1], Princeton Election Consortium[2], 538[3,4], and others did analyze their model's failures and update their models and methodologies in response.
0: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/16/upshot/presidential-forecast-postmortem.html http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/16/upshot/presidential-foreca...
1: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/pollster-forecast-donald-trump-wrong_us_5823e1e5e4b0e80b02ceca15 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/pollster-forecast-donald...
2: http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/09/aftermath/ http://election.princeton.edu/2016/11/09/aftermath/
3: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gave-trump-a-better-chance-than-almost-anyone-else/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-fivethirtyeight-gav...
4: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pund...