This reminds me of a CNN video I saw today [1]. Maybe this is what makes the difference between statisticians trying to predict the election and the method use

This reminds me of a CNN video I saw today [1]. Maybe this is what makes the difference between statisticians trying to predict the election and the method used by "Trafalgar Group" who try to understand each states regulations and specifics to make rule based predictions, instead of extrapolating from a big pool of data. In two days we will know who was right. [1] Pollster who predicted Trump's 2016 win makes 2020 prediction: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BOhRCeoMzM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0BOhRCeoMzM