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To put Waymo's 7.7/million accident rate in perspective, it would mean an average driver, who drives 13,500 miles in a year, has one accident in 10 years. In o
by RivieraKid 6y ago
To put Waymo's 7.7/million accident rate in perspective, it would mean an average driver, who drives 13,500 miles in a year, has one accident in 10 years.
In other words, I don't think this is a concern at all. It's similar to humans already and will only get better.
I think economics and scaling are the main challenges and unknowns for Waymo. I hope they will soon finish phase 1 (perfect self-driving in a small area) and start pahse 2 (expand as fast as possible).
- caturopath 6y agoIt sounds like it's not similar to humans in Arizona according to the Arizona DOT, although I find it surprising if the average Arizonan only gets in one accident about every 50 years. I wonder if a huge amount of the driving are things like OTR trucking and have a low accident rate compared to the average civilian commuter.
- RivieraKid 6y agoThe 2.6 per million miles is just the lower bound. From Waymo's blogpost: > The majority of incidents in our report fall into this category of typically unreported minor collision or contact.