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Yes, it increases the state-level and national uncertainty intervals (Andrew Gelman has talked about this several times on his blog), which improves Trump's odd
by RivieraKid 6y ago
Yes, it increases the state-level and national uncertainty intervals (Andrew Gelman has talked about this several times on his blog), which improves Trump's odds.
- noirbot 6y agoSure, but that's not necessarily wrong. Any decision in the model will change Trump's odds in one way or another. The question is if it makes it closer to the (unknowable) real odds. Just because intuition says it should be longer odds for Trump doesn't mean that's right.