The problem is that 538 is correctly factoring the voting fuckery done at the state level which ruins the voting correlations. Gelman seems to be modelling fai

The problem is that 538 is correctly factoring the voting fuckery done at the state level which ruins the voting correlations. Gelman seems to be modelling fair elections - ha! Now the question, how did 538 come up with the correct model which takes into account vote manipulations at the state level? /s