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If you have a die that rolls a one 1/6 of the time, do you consider the die wrong?
by shajznnckfke 6y ago
If you have a die that rolls a one 1/6 of the time, do you consider the die wrong?
- ceilingcorner 6y agoNo, but I don't consider it useful toward predicting the outcome, which is of course what this is all about.
- shajznnckfke 6y agoIf there was sufficient data to assign a 0% or 100% probability to an event, that’s what a forecaster should do. If there isn’t sufficient data, then anyone who claims there is a sure thing is a charlatan.
- thomasmeeks 6y agoSay more about "but I don't consider it useful toward predicting the outcome" How else would one predict the outcome of a die roll, specifically?