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The assertion you're responding to was not about Trump's odds in an absolute sense, but relative to other pollsters and forecasters. So pointing out the precise
by wtallis 6y ago
The assertion you're responding to was not about Trump's odds in an absolute sense, but relative to other pollsters and forecasters. So pointing out the precise value FiveThirtyEight assigned to that outcome doesn't refute anything until you compare it to somebody else's number.