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> On most indicators the world has gotten better and more free and more democratic. On what timescale? Freedom House's metrics on freedom and democratic gover
by bleepblorp 6y ago
> On most indicators the world has gotten better and more free and more democratic.
On what timescale?
Freedom House's metrics on freedom and democratic governance have been in retreat for over a decade now[0], due both to increasing authoritarianism in the underdeveloped world and the rise of illiberal[1], anti-democratic, movements in the developed world.
Human development indicators--such as the percentage of the global population in extreme poverty--have certainly been rising up to the end of 2019, but the pandemic has been forecast, by some, to undo several decades of those improvements[2].
> I would posit that what has happened is that second order effects are now more visible like the crime that was not reported and is now reported.
This is absolutely true. In the US, the crime rate has been falling since the 1990s but most Americans continue to believe that the crime rate is rising.[3] In part some of this perception is due to media sensationalism but a very large part of it is, to be blunt, the result of deliberate political propaganda.[3]
> A Hoover dam would probably not be built now because the communities affected are more empowered and have the resources to mobilize political opinion. ... I am not saying this is a bad thing or a good thing
I believe the privileging of local preferences over collective needs has been extremely bad for society as a whole because it has prevented collective needs from being addressed. For example, the housing affordability crisis that is gripping much of the anglosphere is largely due to local preferences against housing construction to override the need for a growing population to have housing. Collective needs that impact millions of people are more important than the whims of local NIMBYs. The same applies to public infrastructure and mega-projects, including nuclear power. We most likely need nuclear power to save the planet, and that need is far more important than the property values of people who are in the immediate area of new power plants. Our current NIMBY-first system does not allow for this.
[0] https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2019/democracy-retreat https://freedomhouse.org/report/freedom-world/2019/democracy...
[1] This word does not mean 'conservative.'
[2] https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/half-billion-people-could-be-pushed-poverty-coronavirus-warns-oxfam https://www.oxfam.org/en/press-releases/half-billion-people-...
[3] https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/many-americans-are-convinced-crime-is-rising-in-the-u-s-theyre-wrong/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/many-americans-are-conv...
- haltingproblem 6y agoYou seem to mostly agreeing with the effect but arguing for more collectivism over individual rights which is a personal preference. There might be blips on the developmental indices which means on some metric like infant mortality, the improvement rate has stalled compared to last year or the overall metric has actually gotten worse but it will require a monumental disaster to go back to where infant mortality was in 1990 or even 2000. On Freedom House, which I used to often quote, I have commented extensively in this thread [1]. To summarize, Freedom House metrics are completely qualitative and subjective. They have not published the "raw data" for the last two years of rankings. Raw data here means their subjective rankings for the various criteria which they then combine into one metric. Poppycock of the partisan kind being marketed as objective truth. Makes me cringe that I even used to believe in it. Freedom House raises $30,000,000 annually from Donors to create these metrics. Ask yourself what they are selling (alarmism: "Freedom is in danger") and to whom (donors). [1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24577995 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=24577995