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The 20th century was the least deadly century ever, but we shouldn't conclude poison gas or misinformation are safe. If you're summing all effects, you're look
by brnt 6y ago
The 20th century was the least deadly century ever, but we shouldn't conclude poison gas or misinformation are safe.
If you're summing all effects, you're looking at all data at once, and probably are doomed not to learn anything particularly actionable. Its in the breakdown that we kind find meaningful bits for future reference.
- natmaka 6y agoCOVID-19 has at least 2 main solutions, which are mutually exclusive: (lockdown) or (no lockdown). If there is no major other new pertinent factor, then when it comes to compare those solutions (deciding when to assess is a challenge) there are (proportionally) less deaths where the more efficient one is implemented. Am I wrong?
- brnt 6y agoThere are many intermediate stages of lockdown, have a look at the different strategies of the various (smaller) European countries. Besides, counting an integral number of deaths gives you an integral number. You'll only know the cumulative effect of whatever state the country is in, which is the result of many factors, among which the precise state of the lockdown.
- natmaka 6y ago> There are many intermediate stages of lockdown Indeed, and this doesn't forbid comparisons if we can assess each effective stage. More datapoints, yay! Those many factors cumulative effects are indeed difficult to assess, and this is true for each of such analysis. If we try to find correlations, here between lockdown effective intensity and the amount of victims, and if a trend becomes perceptible for most nations...