3 ms·
Here's a fact: Regardless of who wins the electoral college, Biden is going to receive at least 5 to 6 million more votes than Trump. This isn't a biased predic
by russellbeattie 6y ago
Here's a fact: Regardless of who wins the electoral college, Biden is going to receive at least 5 to 6 million more votes than Trump. This isn't a biased prediction, it's based on national polling which has proven itself to be accurate to within a couple points. This makes sense, given the law of large numbers.
Biden is currently up +10, though this will drop before election day. Hillary ended up winning with 48.2% vs 46.1% - +2.1 points equaling 2.8 million votes more than Trump. Biden will most likely double that number, and yet still easily lose the election.
The system we have is amazingly broken.
- CameronNemo 6y agoAsk your state legislature to adopt a new system! https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/ https://www.nationalpopularvote.com/ Especially if you live in Michigan, Arizona, Virginia, or North Carolina.
- toast0 6y agoDo you (does anyone?) have a projection for what the popular vote would be if we had a popular election? You'd need to make a lot of assumptions about voter behavior, of course, but it would be a lot more interesting than adding the votes as cast in the various state elections.