3 ms·
Income brackets are not as sticky as you might think[1]. If you are in the second or third quintile, you are more likely to move income quintiles than stay wher
by dahfizz 6y ago
Income brackets are not as sticky as you might think[1]. If you are in the second or third quintile, you are more likely to move income quintiles than stay where you are over ten years.
If you are in the bottom quintile, you only have a 64% chance of staying there. That's not incredible, but it does make you question the "inescapable poverty" narrative when a full 1/3 of impoverished people escape it every decade.
Across every income quintile, you are more likely to die richer than your father[2].
[1] https://www.clevelandfed.org/en/newsroom-and-events/publications/economic-commentary/2016-economic-commentaries/ec-201606-income-inequality-and-mobility.aspx https://www.clevelandfed.org/en/newsroom-and-events/publicat...
[2] https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economic-letter/2013/march/us-economic-mobility-dream-data/ https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/publications/economi...
- TheOtherHobbes 6y agoPerhaps. But the trends are not encouraging. https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/09/social-mobility-upwards-decline-usa-us-america-economics/ https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/09/social-mobility-upwar...
- srtjstjsj 6y agoThe "success" OP seems to be referring to is all top quintile, not a kid who stays off drugs and stays in school and goes to college and gets a good trade or a white collar job. Anyway, "dying richer than your father" is extremely different for the bottom quintile than the top, which shouldn't be equivocated. When half of people stay near where they are born in wealth, it's pretty clear that there is a massively unlevel playing field.