3 ms·
true, yet the same can be said of: - any new pharmaceutical - diets (keto, carnivore, etc) - 5g etc point being: modifying behavior due to decade time-horizo
by hejja 6y ago
true, yet the same can be said of:
- any new pharmaceutical
- diets (keto, carnivore, etc)
- 5g
etc
point being: modifying behavior due to decade time-horizon unknowns is not really pragmatic.
- murgindrag 6y agoIt kind of is. If you see a country next to yours building up a massive army, and starting propaganda about your government being evil, that's a good reason to prepare. If we learned of alien life in the galaxy, we might want to prepare too. And with diets and diseases, if something has a short-horizon effect, that's good evidence it might have a long time-horizon effect too. The seriousness with which I respond to COVID19 is mostly due to short time-horizon effects giving strong implications of possible long time-horizon effects. I'm less concerned about the 3% CFR as I am about the larger portion of individuals who might have long-term disability, lower economic output, etc. If that passes, we'll be feeling that for many decades.
- akuchling 6y agoIt does mean not being very careless about getting infected, and weighs against the idea of going for herd immunity without a vaccine. Here's a Twitter thread listing post-infection syndromes from other vital infections: https://mobile.twitter.com/aetiology/status/1318676570467409922 https://mobile.twitter.com/aetiology/status/1318676570467409...