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This is just disingenuous, as just about everyone's been wrong when it comes to predictions or claims on COVID-19: from the WHO, to the CDC, to Fauci. I don't r
by dvt 6y ago
This is just disingenuous, as just about everyone's been wrong when it comes to predictions or claims on COVID-19: from the WHO, to the CDC, to Fauci. I don't really fault anyone for making bad predictions, either (as long as they're made in good faith and not just to drum up controversy) -- it is a novel situation after all.
- mturmon 6y agoI think it's the confident, bad predictions. From the linked article: > TSD: What do you predict to happen in the coming months regarding COVID-19 in the U.S.? > ML: I think it’s going to end up with less deaths than what I thought. In March, I thought there would be a total of 220,000, but there will be less than that. Right now it is around 155,000 in the U.S., and I am expecting it to end up under 170,000 or maybe 175,000. --- The article is dated August 2, and so these confident predictions are not looking too good at all. I'm not cherry-picking, there's a lot more in the article, like: > I think that when we come to look back, we’re going to say that wasn’t such a terrible disease. This just doesn't seem to be a person who has a good perspective on public health or public policy. --- And finally, ML's remarks about the Swedish death rate are not correct, as pointed out editorially in the article.