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"Michael Levitt @MLevitt_NP2013 US COVID19 will be done in 4 weeks with a total reported death below 170,000. How will we know it is over? Like for Europe, w
by dsr_ 6y ago
"Michael Levitt @MLevitt_NP2013
US COVID19 will be done in 4 weeks with a total reported death below 170,000. How will we know it is over? Like for Europe, when all cause excess deaths are at normal level for week. Reported COVID19 deaths may continue after 25 Aug. & reported cases will, but it will be over."
https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/1287036738565738496 https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/128703673856573849...?
- srtjstjsj 6y agoWhat is he trying to say with "excess death are at normal level"? The definition of excess death is such that normal is 0. I wonder if anyone can find a prediction of his that turned out correct. He's been saying it will be over in a month, every month since January.
- googthrowaway42 6y agoI presume this means "deaths due to Covid-19 at a rate one would normally expect from a flu-like respiratory illness".