3 ms·
LTCM's blowup had nothing to do with any flaw in Black-Scholes. They did lose money on equity volatility strategies but it was because they were betting that vo
by willdearden 6y ago
LTCM's blowup had nothing to do with any flaw in Black-Scholes. They did lose money on equity volatility strategies but it was because they were betting that volatility in the future would be lower than the volatility implied by Black-Scholes. Volatility ended up going up and they lost money. They lost money because their forecast of volatility was wrong, not because Black-Scholes was wrong about the market's view of volatility.