3 ms·
a relatively dangerous, highly infectious pandemic Highly infectious yes, but dangerous relative to what? Current best data from CDC and elsewhere says that c
by thu2111 6y ago
a relatively dangerous, highly infectious pandemic
Highly infectious yes, but dangerous relative to what?
Current best data from CDC and elsewhere says that compared to flu:
- COVID is far less deadly if you are healthy and under 70
- COVID is a bit more deadly if you are old, unhealthy or both
The reason is that flu is willing to kill young and healthy people but COVID virtually never does this, is preference for people who are about to die anyway is so strong that the average age of COVID death is older than the average life expectancy.
If you look at the Swedish data there are ~no deaths either of or with COVID since about the end of July. It's been riding the noise floor, probably all false positives, since then, usually between 1-3 per day. Something that's not killing anyone is hard to describe as "relatively dangerous" unless you're comparing it to some kind of unnatural lifestyle in which as much risk as possible has been removed.
The new 'second waves' of COVID are not correlated with similar second waves of deaths. This is not predicted by any epidemiological model and frankly nobody seems able to satisfactorily explain it, but an increasing number of people testing positive may mean very little when the huge ramp up in testing and unknown/untracked (!) false positive rate is considered. At any rate, it hardly justifies lockdowns.