5 ms·
One thing to consider: This "3 times as bad" happened during summer in the northern hemisphere. Influenza and corona viruses thrive from November to March, so
by leipert 6y ago
One thing to consider: This "3 times as bad" happened during summer in the northern hemisphere.
Influenza and corona viruses thrive from November to March, so it might likely get worse.
- collyw 6y agoTrue, but I don't see any reason to assume it will be worse this time round for a number of reasons. (The IFR that I am using as a measure has been dropping rather than rising, as tests show way more asymptomatic cases). * Many of the deaths were in care homes, the initial strategy was to send them there (in the countries that got hit early on). I think everyone realised in hindsight that this was a bad decision. * Many of the most vulnerable people will have died already, the population that is left will be fitter and have more immunity. (A study of Mardid care homes showed 61% of residents had antibodies a few months back, and ~30% of staff). * A lot more is known about the virus now. * Everyone's lifestyle has changed massively.