Are rationalists less likely to enter the pool of candidates endeavouring for wide-publicly-visible 'success' due to them noting the low probability of success

Are rationalists less likely to enter the pool of candidates endeavouring for wide-publicly-visible 'success' due to them noting the low probability of success reality - (and the discomforting fact that this arguably arises out of factors beyond one's control/foresight)? Entering this pool arguably requires a touch of useful delusion (e.g. trump).