They spent 200M for the one they now know is successful. It does seem likely they could've had > 10% chance of success for under 20M, but that might just be me

They spent 200M for the one they now know is successful. It does seem likely they could've had > 10% chance of success for under 20M, but that might just be me being way too optimistic / not understanding the expenses of trying to deal with a banking system.