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They did well in the House, but lost seats in the Senate. Midterm elections are an imperfect signal, like you're suggesting, but it's not true that the democrat
by remarkEon 6y ago
They did well in the House, but lost seats in the Senate. Midterm elections are an imperfect signal, like you're suggesting, but it's not true that the democrats won a landslide or something in 2018.
- sdenton4 6y agoThe Senate map for a given year can tilt towards one party or another; 2018 was a structurally bad year for the Senate Dems. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democrats-horrible-2018-senate-map-couldnt-have-come-at-a-better-time/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/democrats-horrible-2018...
- remarkEon 6y agoRight, this is a good data point in favor of the argument that it's unwise to extrapolate too much from midterm races for the general.
- UncleMeat 6y agoNo. It is a good datapoint that one should consider the seats in play when making claims about the senate. The map this time is much less unfavorable for the Democrats.