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It's a fallacy to assume that the consequences of future automation is going to be just like past automation. There's no reason to assume that there will be new
by sjwright 6y ago
It's a fallacy to assume that the consequences of future automation is going to be just like past automation. There's no reason to assume that there will be new jobs to replace old jobs next time. Because this time it's going to descend on us a lot faster.
This is not a "simple" perspective, and if I'm permitted to be equally offensive, I suggest yours is a naive perspective. After all, this is already beginning to play out in our economies today.
It used to be that being successful meant that you owned the most successful store in your town, and maybe also the three other closest towns. Now, success is judged on a national or even international level. Success is achieved by fewer people at bigger scales. Success then looked like Wal-Mart. And now it looks like Amazon.
Success used to look like a dozen taxi medallions in NYC. Now it looks like Uber.
Do you really think that the "American Dream" will withstand a large fraction of truck drivers, taxi drivers, manufacturing line workers and clerical workers being made forcefully unemployed? You're not seriously suggesting that the answer is to teach truck drivers to code?