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Show me the money: did they warn about COVID-19 way BEFORE it be came a problem, or did they not? If not, why should we take them seriously? It is easy to progn
by trishankkarthik 6y ago
Show me the money: did they warn about COVID-19 way BEFORE it be came a problem, or did they not? If not, why should we take them seriously? It is easy to prognosticate AFTER the fact.
- _jahh 6y agonot seeing one crisis doesn't mean they aren't better than chance. Also do you know that they didn't make some accurate prediction of XX% of a pandemic that was born out in this situation? No one is claiming to have a literal crystal ball.
- jacques_chester 6y agoThis argument relies on the nirvana fallacy. "You are not perfectly clairvoyant, therefore prediction is worthless". I recall, but cannot locate, that questions related to the outbreak of trans-species respiratory illnesses from China have been canvassed in the past. It does appear that the US intelligence community expected a pandemic to emerge: https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/16/analysis-yes-people-did-foresee-this-pandemic-happening/ https://www.mercurynews.com/2020/03/16/analysis-yes-people-d...